Recursive estimation for continuous time stochastic volatility models
نویسندگان
چکیده
Optimal as well as recursive parameter estimation for semimartingales had been studied in Thavaneswaran and Thompson [1, 2]. Recently, there has been a growing interest in modeling volatility of the observed process by nonlinear stochastic processes (Taylor [3]). In this paper, we study the recursive estimates for various classes of discretely sampled continuous time stochastic volatility models using the Milstein method. We provide closed form expressions for the recursive estimates for recently proposed stochastic volatility models. We also give an example of computation of the term structure of zero rates in an incomplete information environment. In this case, learning about an unobserved state variable is done jointly with the valuation procedure.
منابع مشابه
Characteristic function estimation of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck-based stochastic volatility models
Continuous-time stochastic volatility models are becoming increasingly popular in finance because of their flexibility in accommodating most stylized facts of financial time series. However, their estimation is difficult because the likelihood function does not have a closed-form expression. In this paper we propose a characteristic function-based estimation method for non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhl...
متن کاملHybrid Stock Models and Parameter Estimation
Abstract In this work, we study a class of hybrid models for the stock market to account for the coexistence of continuous dynamics and discrete events. Different from the original geometric Brownian motion models, both the rate of return and the volatility in the hybrid model depend on a continuous-time Markov chain. This model can deal with random volatility by incorporating market trend with...
متن کاملEconometric Analysis of Jump-Driven Stochastic Volatility Models
This paper introduces and studies the econometric properties of a general new class of models, which I refer to as jump-driven stochastic volatility models, in which the volatility is a moving average of past jumps. I focus attention on two particular semiparametric classes of jump-driven stochastic volatility models. In the first the price has a continuous component with time-varying volatilit...
متن کاملComparing the performance of GARCH (p,q) models with different methods of estimation for forecasting crude oil market volatility
The use of GARCH models to characterize crude oil price volatility is widely observed in the empirical literature. In this paper the efficiency of six univariate GARCH models and two methods of estimation the parameters for forecasting oil price volatility are examined and the best method for forecasting crude oil price volatility of Brent market is determined. All the examined models in this p...
متن کاملEstimation of Continuous-Time Stochastic Volatility Models with Jumps using High-Frequency Data∗
This paper proposes a method of inference for general stochastic volatility models containing price jumps. The estimation is based on treating realized multipower variation statistics calculated from high-frequency data as their unobservable (fill-in) asymptotic limits. The paper provides easy-to-check conditions under which the error in estimation resulting from this approximation is op(1) and...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- Appl. Math. Lett.
دوره 22 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2009